Hong Kong's Cathay Pacific Airways (0293) said on Wednesday its first half profit may jump as much as 76 percent from a year earlier, boosted by strong passenger and cargo demand, improved performance from low-cost carrier HK Express and higher contributions from associates.
The airline group forecast a profit of about HK$6 billion to HK$6.5 billion for the six months ended June 30, up from HK$3.7 billion in the same period a year earlier.
The results include a one-time gain of about HK$1.4 billion from the partial dilution of its stake in Air China.
Stripping out the one-off item, underlying performance was driven by solid demand across both its passenger and cargo operations, the airline said.
The results come as the broader aviation industry grapples with a severe fuel cost shock. The International Air Transport Association forecast in June that airlines' fuel bills would surge to about US$350 billion this year from US$252 billion in 2025, with jet fuel prices averaging US$152 per barrel, almost 70 percent above 2025 levels, a headwind Cathay acknowledged even as it reported stronger earnings.
Shares of the Hong Kong-listed carrier jumped more than 3 percent in the afternoon session after being slightly lower in the morning, as the stronger profit outlook beat some analysts' forecasts. HSBC had forecast Cathay Pacific would report HK$5.1 billion in first-half profit, according to a recent note.
Cathay Cargo carried 9 percent more cargo in June compared with a year earlier, with total tonnage in the first half of the year also up 9 percent.
Chief Customer and Commercial Officer Lavinia Lau said semiconductor and pharmaceutical shipments were the main growth drivers, supporting its specialist Cathay Expert and Cathay Pharma product lines. Looking ahead, Lau said the group would monitor the potential impact on e-commerce flows from new customs duties on low-value imports into Europe.
On the passenger side, Cathay Pacific carried 12 percent more passengers in June year-on-year, with available seat kilometres rising 6 percent. For the first half of the year, passenger numbers were up 17 percent.
Load factors held up despite June historically being a softer month, partially helped by rerouted traffic through Hong Kong amid the ongoing Middle East conflict. Demand in premium cabins also remained robust, driven by strong corporate and premium leisure travel.
"The outlook for the summer peak remains encouraging, particularly across our long-haul network," Lau said.
Budget unit HK Express was a softer spot, with the number of passengers down 4 percent in June after the carrier trimmed capacity to offset higher fuel costs. Bookings for July are running ahead of last year, Lau said.
The group's full interim results are expected to be published in August.
Reuters
