European retail investors are among those jockeying for a piece of the hotly anticipated SpaceXSPCX.O initial public offering, but some observers warn the deal could prove a bumpy ride for those without the resources that institutional investors have behind them.
SpaceX is considering allocating as much as 30% of the deal to individual investors - an unusually large retail tranche - with offerings planned in the UK, Germany, Denmark, France, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland.
In Britain, eight online investing platforms have begun inviting UK customers to apply for shares in the $75 billion raise, seen by some as the most significant retail offering in the country since the flotation of then state-owned Royal Mail in 2013, and a chance to re-energise a lacklustre investing culture.
"The retail interest here is unlike any other deal, investors want to be part of the dream," said Ygal El Harrar, BNP Paribas' global head of equity capital markets, technology.
European IPO issuance has slumped since 2021 and the proportion of household assets held in financial securities is just 17%, according to the European Union, a figure dwarfed by the 43% in the United States.
Three academics and one consumer rights advocate advised caution due to the lofty $1.75 trillion valuation of the loss-making SpaceX, while the small float size of less than 5% and a lack of voting rights could pose risks.
SpaceX did not respond to a request for comment. Its founder and leader Elon Musk said on Thursday that he felt "pretty good" about the company's revenue projections and that revenue had become "much more predictable".
LIFT OFF
Opinion on investment forums and platforms like Reddit is mixed, with some enthusiastic and others put off by the high valuation or Musk's leadership.
Hargreaves Lansdown said 35,000 of its clients had registered an interest in IPO alerts since SpaceX's offer was first rumoured in April.
Revolut's dedicated webpage for the share sale in Britain aimed at signing up new customers features a full-page video of a SpaceX rocket lifting off before outlining risks including that applicants may not receive any shares at all.
Meziane Lasfer, Professor of Finance at Bayes Business School in London, said that while institutional investors have databases and financial analysts to help them determine the true value of a company, retail investors would be taking a "very big risk".
“It is a company that is making huge losses and at the price it’s coming to market, it’s at 100 times price to sales, which is extremely high...Normally about twice to three times is very good.”
The CEO of JPMorgan, one of the vast syndicate of banks working on the IPO, said it was looking to treat "individual investors the same way institutions are treated".
SETTING A PRECEDENT
UK-based Marex Financial is operating a public offer platform where the eight retail platforms - also including AJ Bell, CMC Markets, eToro, Freetrade, Interactive Brokers and interactive investor - can send prospective investors' orders.
Mike Coombes, chief operating officer of British retail investment platform PrimaryBid, said this new approach could set a precedent for other foreign firms targeting UK buyers.
An executive at one of the retail platforms involved said it was encouraging that everyday investors were getting early access to an IPO rather than only being able to buy shares in the secondary market.
eToro said in a press release that the minimum application on its platform was $750, while Hargreaves Lansdown is asking for £1,000 ($1,334).
BNP Paribas' El Harrar said that retail participation in IPOs is a new obsession for technology companies that have shifted from maybe having at most 15% of their order book placed with such investors, to double that.
While there has been a regulatory push in the UK to make it easier for retail investors to buy into IPOs, there has been a dearth of deals to choose from amid a global slowdown in new listings.
Of the 15 largest UK IPOs in 2021, only one included a retail tranche, according to Coombes. That was Deliveroo, which offered retail investors a 50 million pound slice of its £1.5 billion IPO via PrimaryBid. The stock plunged as much as 30% on its first day of trading.
Reuters