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Takafumi Horie's challenge comes amid growing worries in conservative circles
about foreign acquisitions.REUTERS
A rare takeover battle pitting a pugnacious Internet entrepreneur against a
stodgy media group is giving Japan Inc a crash course in bare-knuckles
capitalism and making dealmakers nervous about an anti-foreign backlash.
An attempt by Takafumi Horie, founder of Internet startup Livedoor, to win
influence over Fuji Television through a hostile takeover of Fuji's largest
shareholder symbolizes a breakdown of old-style practices that ignored
shareholders in favor of protecting managers and business ties.
``Japan is becoming a `normal country,''' said Jesper Koll, chief economist at
Merrill Lynch in Tokyo. ``If you had to make a documentary on rule-based market
capitalism at work you couldn't have scripted a better story.''
But some experts worry that conservative lawmakers and business executives are
using a cameo appearance by a foreign broker in the domestic drama as an excuse
to backpedal on a government pledge to promote foreign investment.
And if the pudgy, T-shirt-clad Horie fails, both foreign and domestic firms
could well be discouraged from similar attempts in a country where hostile bids
are rare and still carry a stigma.
``Horie broke ground, people realized it could happen and may be emboldened to
do it, but if Horie isn't able to get cooperation [from Fuji] and can't make
money, it could certainly be a very expensive failure,'' said Marc Goldstein,
director of Japanese research at Institutional Shareholders Services.
The saga's complex twists and turns have gripped the public since Horie said in
February he had taken a controlling stake in radio broadcaster Nippon
Broadcasting System - a member, along with Fuji TV, of the Fujisankei media
conglomerate.
It coincides with an impending revision of Japan's commercial code, including
steps to make cross-border mergers easier as well as strengthen defences
against hostile takeovers.
The Livedoor drama is by no means Japan's first or biggest hostile takeover.
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group caused shockwaves last year with a US$30
billion (HK$234 billion) unsolicited offer for UFJ Holdings in an unprecedented
banking takeover battle with Mitsubishi Tokyo Financial Group.
But Horie's challenge comes amid growing worries in conservative circles about
foreign merger and acquisition activity and hostile takeovers. It is
reminiscent of public perceptions in the late 1980s that Japan was buying up
America, exemplified in books such as Michael Crichton's Rising Sun.
As was the case then, reality is a bit different. Foreigners buying Japanese
firms accounted for around 13 percent of the US$78 billion worth of M&A
deals in Japan in calendar 2004, little changed from the percentage four years
earlier, according to research firm Thomson Financial.
Public sentiment against foreign acquisitions has risen since private investment
firms such as US fund Ripplewood Holdings made billions of dollars in profits
buying amusement parks, golf courses and banks bailed out by tax payers' money.
Ruling Liberal Democratic Party lawmakers seized on US investment bank Lehman
Brothers selling an 80 billion yen (HK$5.77 billion) convertible bond to help
fund Horie's bid. It was used as an excuse to delay rules that would allow
foreign firms to use indirect stock swaps in takeovers of Japanese companies
for one year until 2007. The party also said last week it would consider more
measures against unwanted takeovers.
The political moves have prompted concerns among foreign companies that they
are being made scapegoats.
``They want better defences, but I think they are using the bugaboo of the
`vulture foreigners' as justification,'' said Robert Grondine, chairman of the
American Chamber of Commerce in Japan. ``It's an intense political drama and
unfortunately a lot of people are playing the anti-foreigner card to very good
effect.''
Yoshimasa Shiozaki, an LDP lawmaker involved in revising the commercial code,
said many of his colleagues on the new party panel were motivated by misguided
nationalism.
``What are they trying to protect? They are talking about foreign capital, but
Horie isn't foreign,'' he said.
``They're just saying `foreigners are scary,' without a vision of how to make
Japan's economy strong.'' The political intrusion has raised fears the
government will backslide on Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi's promise to
double foreign direct investment in five years from 2003.
FDI accounts for just 2 percent of Japan's gross domestic product, compared with
12 percent for the US and 20 percent in Britain. Total M&A activity made up
only 0.32 percent of GDP in the fourth quarter of 2004, compared with 2.8
percent in the US.
``It's a big test,'' Grondine said. ``Is Japan getting integrated into global
capital markets, or do they really want to be an island country unto
themselves?''
That doesn't mean the takeover business is dead. Japanese M&A deals jumped
39 percent in the first quarter, even after stripping out MTFG's offer to buy
UFJ, according to Thomson.
REUTERS
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