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Syndicated loan issuance in Asia outside Japan
fell to its lowest level in two years in the first quarter after companies
rushed to raise money in 2004 in the face of rising global interest rates.
``We've had a couple of years of above-trend activity and it couldn't go on
forever,'' a banker said. ``You've had a lot of people prepaying and
refinancing and they can't do it again.''
The Lunar New Year, which fell in the second week of February, also reduced loan
volume by pushing deal closings into the second quarter, bankers said.
Syndicated loans across the region totaled US$14.1 billion (HK$109.9 billion) in
the first three months of this year according to Thomson Financial. That is
down 9 percent from US$15.5 billion in the first quarter of last year and the
lowest since the US$13.4 billion level of the first three months of 2003.
The decline in loan demand has been a boon for those companies that still wished
to borrow, as cash-rich banks were willing to cut fees to win business.
Taiwan led the region with US$2.7 billion in loans, down from the US$4.8 billion
in the first quarter of 2004. Last year's demand was boosted by semiconductor
manufacturers, who arranged cheap loans and now have no immediate need for more
cash.
Hong Kong came in second with US$2.6 billion in deals, despite having the
largest deal in Asia in the first quarter when property developer Sun Hung Kai
arranged a US$1.6 billion loan partially to refinance existing debt. In the
first quarter of 2004, Hong Kong loans topped US$3.2 billion. Third place went
to China at US$1.2 billion down from US$1.6 billion.
On the way up was South Korea, which almost doubled volume to US$2.3 billion on
the back of deals by the country's shipping industry. Malaysia raised issuance
by US$400 million over last year's levels as government-owned companies
refinanced debt. In India, loans grew by just over US$100 million as it became
cheaper to borrow in US dollars.
Citigroup was the top arranger with US$1.2 billion in deals, followed by
Standard Chartered with US$893 million and BNP Paribas at US$874 million,
according to Thomson.
Bankers, who say deal pipelines are still full, nonetheless reckon that
full-year demand will come in about 10 percent below 2004 levels at US$79
billion.
tim.leemaster@singtaonewscorp.com
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