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Washington is considering a more aggressive effort to foster opposition inside
Iran and seeking ways to use new funds to support activists without exposing
them to the risk of arrest.
The approach would represent a change since US President GeorgeW Bush's first
term, when the United States was more wary of such potentially dangerous moves.
``We can now be much more aggressive than we had been,'' a senior official said,
hailing the arrival of Condoleezza Rice at the State Department as invigorating
the president's push for democracy.
``The guys at the State Department were too afraid to try anything during the
first term. They were extremely cautious about angering the regime in
Teheran.''
The more aggressive approach is being considered even while Bush moves towards
supporting a plan created by France, Germany and Britain to offer Iran economic
incentives to forgo nuclear weapons.
Iran contends its nuclear energy program is peaceful, but American and European
officials have charged that Teheran may be reserving a nuclear weapons option.
Among the proposals being floated by some inside and outside government are
funding activists in Iran who want to start opposition parties and labor unions
or people who are able to travel in and out of the country. Also under
consideration is increasing funds for pro-democracy broadcasts.
``There are some that want to engage in a more confrontational democratization
effort within Iran,'' a State Department official said.
The counter-argument is that giving US funds to reformers may doom them, he
said, because they risk being discredited by their association with the nation
the Iranian regime calls ``The Great Satan'' and would likely be targeted by
the police.
The State Department is looking for ``appropriate opportunities'' to spend money
inside and outside Iran, a second official said. Reflecting the debate within
the administration, the second official argued that no funds would be spent to
directly support political parties or labor unions - something the US rarely,
if ever, does.
No organization that identifies itself as an ``opposition'' group can survive
inside Iran, the first official said.
Despite disagreements on other aspects of the effort, the US officials involved
in the process support funding activists inside Iran as opposed to Iranian
exiles. They hope to avoid what many see as the mistake of backing Iraqi exile
Ahmad Chalabi, who is believed to have fed US intelligence false information
about Iraqi weapons of mass destruction and is now accused of aiding Iran's
intelligence services.
The trouble is that Washington lacks good intelligence about internal political
forces and individuals. Moreover, the CIA has been reluctant to get involved in
covert action in Iran.
More than a decade ago, dozens of CIA informants in Iran were executed or
imprisoned after secret communications with the agency were uncovered, CIA
officials said recently.
Washington is already spending US$14.7 million (HK$114.66 million) a year to
broadcast Persian-language radio and television programs into Iran, and the
White House is seeking a sharp increase in such funding.
Republican senator Sam Brownback favors spending some of the US$3 million he
added to a recently approved spending bill to promote Iranian ``democracy'' on
a conference in the US to bring together Iranian dissidents, rights activists
and others to discuss the state of the democracy movement. But some US
conservatives support direct funding of Iranian activists.
``The worst option would be just to fund a conference,'' argued Michael Rubin, a
former US adviser in Iraq. ``The only good that ever comes out of conferences
is that top US officials get to stay in five-star hotels.''LOS ANGELES TIMES
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