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Donald Tsang is about to become the first knight
of the British empire to run a region of a communist state. Put like this, it
sounds remarkable, possibly slightly unbelievable.
But it only sounds that way if the fundamental purpose of Beijing's grand plan
for Hong Kong is misunderstood. When the People's Republic of China resumed
sovereignty over the former British colony, it wanted nothing less than to
preserve the colonial nature of its new acquisition with all the implication of
subservience that this entails.
I have never doubted this was the plan and in the year following the handover I
wrote a book called Hong Kong: China's new colony. The basic contention
of the book was criticized in some quarters. But the putative appointment of
Sir Donald to lead the SAR provides ample evidence of the mainland's desire to
preserve its version of a colonial system.
The mainland might have saved a lot of trouble by appointing a former British
colonial official as the first new leader. But Anson Chan, the obvious
candidate, showed worrisome signs of independent-mindedness. In any case, there
was a good argument to be made for starting with someone who did not come
directly from the old colonial circle.
The idea became more attractive when Beijing decided it would name the top post
in government as being chief executive in keeping with the policy of stressing
that Hong Kong was ``an economic city, not a political city.''
Tung Chee-hwa had the credentials that impressed the old men in Zhongnanhai. He
was a businessman unlikely to step on the toes of their other powerful business
allies. He was a firm believer in autocracy and a paid-up patriot.
Moreover he was not Cantonese, a big plus to the people in the north who have an
instinctive distrust of southerners.
Even the most fervent critics of the central government underestimated what a
blunder it was when Tung was anointed by that famous handshake with the former
Communist Party boss Jiang Zemin. The extent of his blundering incompetence
became clear to his sponsors when they realised that his stewardship was giving
rise to an unprecedented degree of political activism in Hong Kong.
The old men believed in the weary old myth that the people of the SAR were only
really interested in making money and had no real desire for representative
government. After all, they figured, the former colonial regime had spent 150
years ruling autocratically and only encountered minor resistance to this form
of administration.
History will have a tough time judging whether Tung's incompetence stimulated
the demands for democracy or whether they would have come without his
intervention.
But the view from Beijing was that, whatever prompted this dangerous outpouring
of support for the one thing that really frightens the Communist Party, there
was an urgent need to get back to the placid days of British rule.
Who better to perform this task than a knight of the realm?
Unlike Tung, Tsang knows how the system operates and even appreciates the
give-and-take necessary to make the upper echelons run smoothly. In opting for
Tsang, it has opted for conservatism. It does not want to experiment with
another businessman, nor even with someone like Leung Chun-ying, a lifetime
Beijing supporter.
In essence, the selection of Tsang is a cry from the heart to return to the old
colonial days of civic calm and strong government.
In Tsang, Beijing has found the perfect colonial official. He is a stickler for
status and respects hierarchy. To prove himself acceptable to the new masters
he has had to be even more humble and subservient than was deemed necessary in
his dealings with the old masters. And Tsang is a true believer in the idea
that the government knows best and that the people will discover this wisdom in
due course. He does not have the self-doubt that politicians carry on their
backs when plunging into affairs where the state should be wary of plunging.
It is, for example, no coincidence that he is determined to push through plans
for the West Kowloon cultural district project in the face of widespread
opposition. Like other life-long bureaucrats he does not understand that public
dismay over a government plan may not merely be based on perversity but on a
genuine desire for something better.
Tsang understands how big bureaucracies work and what it takes to survive in the
belly of these turbulent beasts. He understood how to prosper under the British
and made it his business to learn how to do the same under the new masters.
This ability to survive and prosper is admirable in some ways, but it is not a
quality that is guaranteed to satisfy the needs of a sophisticated society with
legitimate aspirations for involvement in public affairs.
If Tsang believes that he will succeed merely by pleasing his rather demanding
masters in Beijing, he might get some nasty shocks from the people of Hong Kong
who have an entirely different set of objectives.
vines@netvigator.com
Stephen Vines is a journalist and entrepreneur
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