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Traders decreased their bets the yuan will appreciate after the central bank
said it will not revalue the currency again in the ''foreseeable future,''
dismissing speculation its move last week is a first step.
``After the comment, traders don't think China will come up with another
one-time change in the near term,'' said Steven Chang, vice-president of global
markets at State Street Bank & Trust, in Hong Kong. ``Because of
[Tuesday's] comments, some banks may be advising clients to buy dollars, while
people who had already bought the yuan sold the currency to take profit.''
The yuan would rise to 7.755 against the dollar in a year if freely traded, a
gain of 4.4 percent, according to last-afternoon forward contracts. The
so-called implied rate was 7.745 in Asia. The yuan may fall to around 7.78 in
two weeks, Chang said.
The central bank maintains a 0.3 percent limit within which the yuan is allowed
to fluctuate. The yuan was fixed at 8.1128 versus the US dollar on the
Shanghai-based China Foreign Exchange Trading System, compared with 8.1099
Tuesday. China revalued the yuan to 8.11 last Thursday, from the previous
decade-old peg of 8.30.
``The notion that the 2 percent revaluation is only an initial adjustment and
that the central bank will further adjust the rate in the foreseeable future is
wrong,'' the People's Bank of China said Tuesday.
China had been under pressure to allow its currency to strengthen by countries
such as the United States and Japan, which said the peg held down the yuan's
value, providing an unfair advantage to the mainland's exporters.
BLOOMBERG
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