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Shares in Asia's only major listed budget
airline, Malaysia's AirAsia, jumped 12 per cent in their debut on Monday, as
investors bet that cheap fares would drive strong growth in air travel across
the region.
AirAsia, which wants to be Asia's leading low-cost carrier and is negotiating
to acquire up to 80 new planes, had priced its US$226 million (HK$1.763
billion) initial public offer below its own indicative price last month,
ensuring the shares went to market oversubscribed.
``We are quite happy with what we have got,'' Chief Executive Tony Fernandes
said when asked if he was disappointed with the IPO price. ``Our main focus is
not on the [share] price; it's on delivering the numbers,'' he added. AirAsia
has forecast net profits to triple between 2003-04 (July-June) and 2004-05.
The stock, sold to institutions at 1.25 ringgit (HK$5.90), hit a high of 1.45
ringgit in Kuala Lumpur before closing up 12 per cent at 1.40, giving AirAsia a
market value of about US$860 million. This was still below the original
indicative price of 1.51.
AirAsia, founded three years ago by a group including Fernandes, a former music
industry executive, is hoping to emulate the success of European low-cost
carriers like Ireland's Ryanair Holdings and Britain's EasyJet.
Aided by a liberalising airline market in the European Union, budget airlines
helped drive growth in air travel, making money despite tumbling ticket prices.
AirAsia, whose board includes a former Ryanair operations director, sought to
convince investors in the run-up to its IPO that Asia was still a decade behind
Europe, with national aviation markets at a relatively early stage of
deregulation.
One aviation analyst said low-cost carriers could open a potentially huge
market in Asia, especially in populous countries like China, India and
Indonesia, as ticket prices fell to the point where planes became an
alternative to trains and buses.
But the analyst, based in Singapore with a European bank, noted that European
fares were relatively higher when budget airlines took off there. ``The
difference is that Asia does not have the high fares to begin with,'' he said.
One of the biggest prizes is low-cost travel to China, where a huge and growing
middle class is expected to change the face of global tourism.
AirAsia said on Monday it would focus initially on Indonesia, a key part in its
plan to grow in Southeast Asia, home to 500 million people. It is forming a
joint venture in Indonesia with local partners to operate out of Jakarta's main
airport.
The carrier's market price is about 19 times forecast earnings per share of
US7.47 cents for 2004-05, a premium to the wider market's multiple of 13 times
and to full-service rivals like Singapore Airlines, which trades at around 12.
It is fetching around the same multiple as Ryanair, though IPO investors
baulked at the PE of 20 indicated in the prospectus, conscious of high oil
prices and rising competition.
Low-cost airlines are mushrooming across the region, sparking price wars and
putting further pressure on carriers to cut costs. Hungry for capital, some of
these rivals may also look to list.
They include Tiger Airways, owned by Singapore Airlines and Ryanair's founder,
and India's Air Deccan. Australia's Qantas Airways launched its 49 per
cent-owned discount carrier, Jetstar, in Asia in September.
Qantas's listed domestic rival, Richard Branson's Virgin Blue Holdings, also
has Asian ambitions: it is talking to Air Macau and casino magnate Stanley Ho's
Shun Tak Holdings about starting a Macau-based budget carrier.REUTERS
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