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Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa's acceptance Monday
of his nomination as a member of China's top advisory body is being viewed by
local politicians as both a reward for eight years of service and as a way for
Beijing to buy time on the thorny issue of universal suffrage.
Barrister and lawmaker Ronny Tong, for instance, questioned Beijing's motives
behind elevating Hong Kong's embattled leader as vice-chairman of the Chinese
People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC).
It means Tung will probably be elected a vice-chairman of the key body, which
advises Beijing leaders, Thursday.
A spokesman for the Chief Executive's Office said Tung is pleased with the
nomination and will leave for Beijing tomorrow to attend the third session of
the 10th National Committee of the CPPCC, starting Thursday.
Tung is also scheduled to attend the opening ceremony of the third session of
the 10th National People's Congress, the mainland parliament, Saturday.
Tong said he agrees that Beijing may be rewarding Tung for his years of service,
but added that he is surprised the appointment came so early.
The vice-chairmanship of the CPPCC is a reward to mainland officials who are
about to retire and Tung's imminent appointment will come two years ahead of
his departure from two terms as chief executive.
Sources in Beijing said Sunday that Tung's likely appointment as vice-chairman
is possibly a face-saving way for him to leave office before 2007.
Tong said the prospect of Tung's early retirement is unlikely, but should that
happen, it would give the central government the opportunity to delay the
proposed election reform in 2007. Minor changes are being proposed by the
government in the method of selection for the next chief executive and the
Legislative Council election in 2008.
While Beijing has ruled out universal suffrage, one probable change is expanding
the Election Committee, which picks the chief executive, from the current 800
members.
``If Tung leaves his post within this year, we will need to re-elect a new chief
executive within six months [of his departure]. The successor will have a new
five-year term,'' Tong said.
He said the next chief executive election will be in 2010, ``enabling the
central government to have a few more years to decide the future direction of
political development in Hong Kong.''
However, a Beijing expert who specializes in China-Hong Kong relations, said
that should Tung be appointed as vice-chairman of the CPPCC later this week, it
will boost his authority.
At the CPPCC Standing Committee meeting, held in Beijing Monday, members passed
a resolution to add Tung and nine other Hong Kong members to the CPPCC.
Apart from Tung, other prominent figures include Central Government Liaison
Office Vice-Director Wang Fengchao, Liberal Party lawmaker Selina Chow,
Alliance lawmaker Lui Ming-wah and Phoenix TV chairman Liu Changle.
After Monday's meeting, local CPPCC Standing Committee member and Asia
Television chief executive Chan Wing-kee said Tung's appointment as a CPPCC
member will help the governance of Hong Kong.
``It will benefit future communication between Beijing and Hong Kong. If [Tung
is elected vice-chairman], it will further raise his authority and subsequently
lift Hong Kong's status [in the eyes of Beijing],'' Chan said.
Zhang Tongxin, director of the China, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macau Research
Center at the Renmin University in Beijing, said Tung's appointment also shows
that the central government wants to hear Hong Kong views.
``If Tung is a CPPCC vice-chairman and voices his opinions at a meeting, his
suggestions will be powerful and authoritative,'' Zhang said in a television
interview.
Zhang also believes that as vice-chairman, Tung will have greater access to
Beijing leaders.
A CPPCC source said it would be illogical for Beijing to cut short Tung's term
as Chief Executive because the economy is flourishing. But others said Tung
will just be a figurehead with real power resting with Chief Secretary for
Administration Donald Tsang.
A CPPCC Standing Committee member said if Tung ``does not leave immediately
after the closing of the plenary, he will be definitely sidelined as a
figurehead.'' The member added: ``No one knows what will happen if Tsang acts
as surrogate chief executive. He [Tsang] may be exposed to more political risks
that eliminate his chances to run or he may prove capable and win Beijing's
blessing.''
City University political analyst James Sung said too much has been read into
Tung's appointment.
``After sustaining years of attack from [the public], it is natural Tung will be
rewarded by the central government, even though it is a bit early,'' he said.
michael.ng@singtaonewscorp.com
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