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Ever since the handover in 1997, the SAR has been
deeply concerned that it would become a neglected financial stepchild to
Shanghai, which for decades until the communist takeover in 1949 had been the
mainland's locus of financial power.
But it looks like Shanghai still has a long way to go to shake up Hong Kong and
indeed, if anything, partly because of rapacious landlords, a disastrous stock
market, unscrupulous financiers and bad planning, the city has slipped back
instead of moving ahead of its capitalist cousin on the Pearl River Delta.
In fact, Shenzhen, the formerly grimy industrial city cheek by Hong Kong's jowl,
has been working on its own transformation into a regional financial center,
pushing through an 18-part package of financial regulations two years ago to
``pit itself against Shanghai'' as a financial center, according to a People's
Daily article.
After years of promises, an ebullient Shanghai government a year ago unveiled an
ambitious blueprint to return the city to its former international financial
glory. A major focus of the plan was to restore the collection of magnificent
art deco buildings along the Bund beside the Huangpu River as Asia's Wall
Street - a proud title it gained in the 1930s - to attract multinational
financial institutions.
It is early days, and Shanghai may yet one day surpass Hong Kong as a financial
center. But a year later, municipal authorities have found little progress.
Securities brokerage houses have not rushed in as hoped to boost the Shanghai
stock exchange. The financial sector's contribution to Shanghai's gross
domestic product has actually decreased instead of growing.
On Tuesday, at the opening of the annual session of the Shanghai municipal
people's congress, mayor Han Zheng only briefly reaffirmed the goal of building
a financial center in a 31-page work report to city legislators, mentioning no
concrete measures, according to Business Watch, a Beijing-based
magazine.
Instead, the Bund, after a year of development, is a magnet for global
name-brand goods, luxury restaurants and entertainment venues, giving it more
of Fifth Avenue's cachet than Wall Street.
Overseas investors, particularly from the United States, Singapore and Hong
Kong, have invested in high-end shopping centers and entertainment places in
landmark buildings such as the old-time headquarters of what was once known as
the Hong Kong and Shanghai Banking Corporation.
These developments reflect that the Shanghai government is in an awkward
position. In its plan, the municipal government said the financial sector's
contribution to its GDP would grow to 18 percent this year. This aim now looks
hard to achieve, if not impossible.
In 2002, the financial sector contributed 10.8 percent of the city's GDP. In
2003, the figure dropped further, to 10.1 percent. GDP growth in 2003 was 11.8
percent at a time when the financial sector grew by only 7.6percent. It is
widely expected that the financial sector's contribution to Shanghai's GDP last
year will continue to decline, taking into consideration Beijing's austerity
policy to cool down the economy and the stock markets' worse-than-expected
performance.
Indeed, the mainland's markets were among the world's worst performing last
year, with 150 billion yuan (HK$141.09 billion) wiped off the value of domestic
shares.
With the city still chasing its financial center dream, skyrocketing property
prices appear to have driven out potential investors. In the third quarter of
last year, property prices in urban downtown areas averaged 12,000 yuan per
square meter. That has driven factories out of the city to nearby Jiangsu and
Zhejiang provinces so as to keep their competitive edge.
So while Shanghai was a capitalist powerhouse prior to the communist takeover,
it is still struggling to regain its equilibrium. And Hong Kong, with its
strong infrastructure, its sanctity of contract and rule of law and its
relatively transparent corporate governance, still has a few more years to go
at the top.
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