|


Bangladesh-centered radical Islamic groups are responsible for scores of
terrorist bombings and killings there and in neighboring nations, say analysts.AP
When the world's news turns to South Asia's security situation, the focus is
almost inevitably on the Kashmir dispute, Nepal's communist rebellion, the
al-Qaeda-Taleban threat or the chances for peace in Sri Lanka.
Bangladesh is rarely featured. Yet since the Bangladesh National Party took
office in 2002, the poverty-stricken nation has dramatically expanded its role
as a haven for Islamic radicals and organized criminal elements. Today,
virtually every corner of Bangladesh is affected by some form of extremist
violence - with implications far beyond its own borders.
The recent bomb attack that killed former finance minister Shah Kibria at an
opposition Awami League political rally north of Dhaka starkly illustrates the
deteriorating security environment. The attack came just six months after a
strikingly similar attempt on the life of former AL prime minister Sheihk
Hasina Wazed in which 22 were killed - Hasina survived several grenades,
escaping in her armored Mercedes as automatic rifle fire raked the car.
There were more terrorist bombings in Bangladesh last year - an average of one
per month - than in the previous five years combined. The attacks have
disproportionately targeted the opposition Awami League, Bengali cultural
events and Sufi shrines. Because all have been targets of Islamic radicals and
because the BNP was elected in coalition with two Islamic fundamentalist
parties - the Jamiaat e Islami (Bangladesh's third-largest political group) and
the radical Islami Oikyo Jote - the government's indifference to the terror
campaign had led to suggestions of a connection between the BNP and the
radicals.
The outcry that followed Kibria's January assassination - and not a small amount
of pressure from the EU donor community - finally pressured the BNP to arrest
members of two radical Islamic groups based in northwest Bangladesh in late
February. However, these groups are a relatively minor threat compared to some
of the other underground organizations in the country.
The most worrisome group is the Harakat ul Jihad al Islami, an Islamic extremist
organization whose membership overlaps to a substantial degree with the Islami
Oikyo Jote.
The group's motto is ``We are all Taleban and Bangladesh will be Afghanistan.''
True to its motto, HuJI assisted 150 escaping al-Qaeda-Taleban combatants flee
Afghanistan just before Christmas 2001, dispersing them after their ship docked
at Bangladesh's main port of Chittagong.
HuJI's leadership - veteran jihadis with experience in Afghanistan and Chechnya
- signed Osama bin Laden's declaration of holy war against the United States in
1998, thus making the group an official member of bin Laden's ``International
Islamic Front.'' HuJI was implicated in the 2002 bombing of the US consulate in
Calcutta and was linked to a previous assassination attempt against then prime
minister Sheikh Hasina in 2000.
Closer to home HuJI provides training and support to Islamic recruits from
southern Thailand at more than a dozen camps located in the south Chittagong
Hills near the Burmese border (known as the ``bin Laden trail'') - support that
has no doubt contributed to the continuing violence in southern Thailand. The
group recruits heavily among the 250,000 Burmese Muslim refugees who have
settled in the area, dispatching them to jihad in Afghanistan, Bosnia and
Chechnya.
HuJI also allegedly shelters key members of Jemaah Islamiyah, the radical group
responsible for the Bali bombing in 2002.
On a purely commercial basis HuJI also acts as a major conduit for arms to
insurgent groups in northeastern India. Bangladesh's northern hill tracts have
long offered sanctuary to India's tribal rebels. The Chittagong Hills host
almost 200 training camps including those of the United Liberation Front of
Assam, one of the most violent groups.
The tribal guerrillas have been fighting a low intensity conflict against New
Delhi for decades, using extortion and kidnap-for-ransom to fund their
operations, but have traditionally eschewed indiscriminate large-scale attacks
against civilians. That pattern changed in early October 2004 when more than 40
people were killed in a near simultaneous series of bombings across India's
northeastern Assam state. The methods and materials used were sharply different
from past attacks, thus suggesting outside assistance. The fact that a meeting
of a half dozen tribal militant groups occurred in Dhaka before the blasts is
equally damning.
There is also evidence that HuJI's arms conduit has fueled the Marxist
insurgency which has brought Nepal to the brink of collapse. In April 2004 the
largest arms seizure in Bangladesh history - 10 truckloads of weapons including
heavy machine guns, assault rifles, and RPGs - was made at Chittagong port. The
previous month strikingly similar weapons were used in a major communist rebel
assault against the Nepalese town of Beni Bazaar which killed 200.
Despite HuJI's stated goal, Bangladesh is unlikely to become another
Afghanistan, but unfortunately the country's socio-economic prognosis bodes ill
for a quick end to such radical groups.
It has one of the highest population densities on earth. A majority of its 140
million people are under the age of 25 and rely on wet rice agriculture for a
minimum subsistence.
Opportunities for education and skilled jobs are virtually non-existent,
corruption and disease endemic.
With the December 2004 expiration of the textile quota system that gave
developing countries like Bangladesh preferential access to Western markets,
most of the nation's industrial jobs and foreign exchange earnings are under
threat from more efficient producers like China and India. In the same month,
New Delhi - fed up with Dhaka's decade-long refusal to allow any of its
sizeable natural gas resources to flow west to its larger neighbor - reached
agreement with Burma to import natural gas, ironically via pipeline laid across
Bangladesh.
Bangladesh's downward spiral toward ``failed state'' status is correctable, but
only if the country's political leadership takes the following steps: sever all
ties to criminal and extremist organizations; deploy the Bangladesh army to
destroy these groups and establish meaningful rule of law; end the violent
political competition between the major political parties; integrate the
economy more closely with India; and slash bureaucracy and corruption to
encourage foreign investment.
If a dramatic change of course is not taken, Bangladesh will continue to be a
magnet for violent radicals that destabilize not only one of the world's
poorest democracies but the region as a whole.
Dane Chamorro is an honors graduate of Georgetown University's School of
Foreign Service and the US Army Military Intelligence School. He frequently
visited Bangladesh between 1996 and 2000. He is currently a senior consultant
with Control Risks Group.
|