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At first glance, it was just a fracas at a hotel.
Ilya Yashin, who works with the liberal political party Yabloko, sneaked into a
meeting last weekend of a new pro-Kremlin student group. But he was caught,
dumped face-first into a snowdrift and, he says, kicked by four toughs wearing
warm-up suits.
It's possible it was not just a scuffle, but a preview of the coming political
struggle for the hearts and minds of young Russians.
The incident occurred at a closed meeting of Nashi (Our Own) at a resort owned
by Russia's presidential administration. Nashi, which announced its existence
last Monday, is dedicated to fighting political extremism, its leader says.
``Our goals are anti-fascism, modernization and democracy,'' founder Vasily
Yakemenko said in an interview last week.
Political analysts believe that Nashi has another, narrower aim - to promote the
interests of President Vladimir Putin.
``The purpose of the group is to create a Putin youth movement, to physically
prevent any demonstrations or meetings of anti-Putin organizations now being
created in Russia, like Kmara in Georgia and Pora in Ukraine,'' Andrei
Piontkovsky, director of the Center for Strategic Studies in Moscow, said.
``Putin and his regime are very much concerned by the possibility of a repeat
of the so-called `Orange Revolution.'''
Peaceful revolutions have occurred in the former Soviet republics of Georgia and
Ukraine: In 2003, demonstrators ousted Georgia's president, Eduard
Shevardnadze. In December, Ukrainian protesters, adopting orange as their
symbol, helped overturn a fraudulent presidential vote and bring to power
challenger Viktor Yushchenko.
For a time, political opposition in Russia seemed to have withered away. But a
series of events beginning in the summer altered Putin's standing. His
government was powerless to stop a series of bombings and hostage-takings, and
it made futile, ham-handed efforts to help the pro-Russian presidential
candidate in Ukraine. The government also has been the target of large protests
by pensioners.
Putin, although still popular, no longer seems politically unassailable. In the
past two months, he has been the target of criticism from a top economic
adviser, Andrei Illarionov, and former prime minister Mikhail Kasyanov.
His approval rating has fallen from a high of 84 percent in December 2003 to 65
percent in January, according to polls by the respected Levada Center.
Under the constitution, Putin is prohibited from running again when his second
four-year term expires in 2008. But some critics predict that he will try to
remain Russia's leader by shifting most of his powers to the office of prime
minister and assuming that post.
Yashin says he is convinced that Nashi is a creature of the Kremlin and is
intended to generate support for the president. ``Although we don't have any
documentary evidence, we believe Nashi is definitely a Kremlin organization,''
the 21-year-old activist said, sitting in his basement office next to a poster
of Cuban revolutionary Che Guevara. ``Russia has an authoritarian regime. This
Nashi movement is just one part of the whole system. It is just a cog in the
machine.''
Nashi's founder Yakemenko, who once worked in the Kremlin, is also leader of the
pro-Putin youth group Idushchiye Vmeste (Moving Together), which burst on the
scene in May 2001 by staging a pro-Putin demonstration in Red Square. The group
declared war on what it said was Russia's moral and spiritual decay, and
organized sometimes satirical, sometimes menacing protests. Its targets
included writers and books it considered pornographic, unpatriotic or both.
Nashi has a more explicitly political mission. In a statement released last
Monday, Yakemenko lumped Putin's critics together as ``amoral individuals'' and
a ``20th-century plague.''
His group, he said, would ``put an end to the unnatural union of oligarchs and
anti-Semites, Nazis and liberals.''
According to Russian newspaper reports, Nashi's supporters include Putin's chief
political strategist, Vladislav Surkov, deputy head of the presidential
administration and an informal adviser to Idushchiye Vmeste.
Surkov is one of the chief architects of recent major Kremlin political changes,
including the cancellation of the direct election of governors. The changes
have raised concerns that Russia is retreating from democracy.
Yakemenko still works out of his office at the tightly guarded mansion that
serves as Idushchiye Vmeste's headquarters. While he declined to say how many
members Nashi has recruited, Idushchiye Vmeste claims about 80,000 young
activists, aged 12 to 30.
Student groups opposing the Kremlin, meanwhile, are relatively small. The
Yabloko youth group, led by Yashin, claims about 2,000 members. A similar
organization, Moving Without Putin, started in St Petersburg a few weeks ago
and claims to have about 200 active members.
Yashin said he learned of Nashi's meeting and showed up at the Senezh Hotel, a
lakeside inn near Solnechnogorsk, about 80 kilometers northwest of Moscow.
He and a reporter for Kommersant, a newspaper owned by Putin critic Boris
Berezovsky, say they infiltrated the morning sessions of the conference.
At one session, Yashin said, Nashi recruits discussed how to respond if members
of a radical leftist group threatened to take over a government building.
Participants decided, he said, that they could surround the building and
prevent the leftists from entering.
About noon, Yashin said, members of Idushchiye Vmeste's leadership showed up at
the hotel and recognized him. Yashin and the reporter were paraded before about
200 recruits and denounced.
``Look guys, this is your enemy,'' Yashin recalls the conference leader, known
to him as only Aleksei, telling the audience. ``These are the people you will
fight.'' Later, Yashin said, he met with Yakemenko, who denounced him as ``a
traitor to the motherland'' and ordered him tossed in a snowbank.
Yashin says he has filed criminal charges in the incident. He did not appear to
be seriously injured.
Yakemenko acknowledged that Yashin was dumped in the snow but said no one kicked
the Yabloko activist.
The intruders were forcibly ejected, he said, only after they refused to leave
peacefully. ``These are provocational methods of the people who call themselves
liberals and democrats,'' Yakemenko said.THE BALTIMORE SUN
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