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China's breakneck economic growth is causing a
dangerous shortage of its most important energy source, coal, with potential
consequences for the entire world, state media warned Sunday.
Scarcity is so severe officials even worry aloud that it could cause social
instability among the 1.3 billion Chinese, China Business Weekly reported.
``The imbalance between coal demand and supply will become more acute this
year,'' the State Development and Reform Commission said, according to the
paper.
``Easing the tightened coal supply will be the first priority for us.''
China is the world's largest consumer and producer of coal, which accounts for
about two-thirds of its energy needs.
The impact of the coal shortage could be global since soaring domestic demand
could force the government to cut off export quotas and push up global prices,
the paper said.
Last year, when the economy ex-panded by 9.5 percent, voracious demand was a key
factor in causing international prices of coal to double.
One of the first sectors to be affected when coal supplies are under pressure is
the power industry, which consumes about half of China's coal output.
The paper said the government is concerned a disruption in the power supply
during the Lunar New Year earlier this month could have sparked social
instability.
To prevent this from happening, it ordered state-owned coal mines to operate
throughout the week-long festival, while railroads were told to use the extra
holiday runs to transport more coal.
The nation's coal consumption this year is expected to rise by 120 million
tonnes, or 6 percent, to 2.1 billion tonnes, according to estimates by the
China Coal Industry Association.
The problem is that the opening of new mines is likely to result in no more than
an additional 100 million tonnes of coal in the course of 2005, the paper said.
``New coal mines cannot meet the faster demand. There is little room for
additional production,'' the State Development and Reform Commission said.
``All kinds of coal mines are almost operating at full capacity, or beyond
capacity, and the pressure on safety is huge.''
The safety issue was highlighted most recently in the Sunjiawan coal mine in
northeastern Liaoning province, which was among the operations that carried on
extraction throughout the Lunar New Year festival.
The workers had only one day off and towards the end of the festival, the mine
was struck by tragedy when a gas explosion occurred, killing up to 215 in
China's worst recorded coal industry disaster in more than 60 years.
Even if overtaxed mines can produce the amount of coal needed to keep fueling
the economy, there is no guarantee it will reach the power plants and factories
that need it.
Rail is the preferred method of transporting it from the mines in the north to
the industrial centers in the east and south.
But the railway system is also overburdened by the hyperactive economy and last
year more than 65 percent of all transportation requests had to be turned down,
the paper said. AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE
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