Stimulus U-turn is dead end for TrumpEditorial | Mary Ma 12 Oct 2020
If pre-election polls are anything to go by, the outcome of the US presidential election is nearly certain to see Joe Biden being elected the 46th president of the United States.
While he will undoubtedly win the popular vote, just as the last Democrartic Party candidate Hillary Clinton did, Biden will, however, also have to win the electoral college vote. If he doesn't, it'll be all for nothing - a hollow victory without the Oval Office to go with it.
Clinton failed in 2016 although she bagged a few million more votes than Trump. To get to the White House, Biden will have to win in some of the swing states.
As of today, history appears like it is not going to repeat itself this election year.
According to Pew Research Center's latest poll findings that were also carried by major US media organizations, Biden has pulled ahead of Trump across the nine swing states - Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Winsconsin - by a 50-45 percent margin.
Now, Biden's campaign is cutting a swath to the rust belt to undercut Trump's base.
Nationwide, Biden continues to maintain his lead over Trump. According to Pew, 52 percent of registered voters said they would vote for Biden if the election were to be held today, compared to 42 percent for Trump.
Third-party candidates Jo Jorgensen and Howie Hawkins together collected 5 percent.
Almost all the voters responded by saying they had made up their mind and wouldn't change it in the three weeks leading up to the election itself.
Biden's edge comes in spite of Trump continuing to enjoy a stronger desire by his supporters to vote for him. Of Trump's voters, 68 percent expressed strong support for him whereas only 57 percent of Biden's voters declaring so similarly.
However, it may be interesting to note that of Biden's voters, the number expressing strong support has increased steadily since August - from 46 to 57 percent today. Maybe the truth is that instead in committing to Biden, his voters are now more committed to opposing Trump and more insistent on the need to kick him out of office.
Trump must have been aware of the imminent danger he is facing at the moment. His U-turn on the stimulus package confirms the fears.
Only days after tweeting he would be cutting off talks with House Democrats led by Speaker Nancy Pelosi on a new stimulus package to bail US workers and businesses out of pandemic devastation, Trump is now declaring the talks are back on track again and he has agreed to increase the bailout to US$1.8 trillion (HK$14.04 trillion). Interesting, isn't it?
The sad question is that the U-turn is unlikely to save Trump on November 3.