Scientist Zhong Nanshan predicts Wuhan virus will peak in 10 days

China | 29 Jan 2020 10:56 am

The death rate of the Wuhan coronavirus outbreak is expected to decrease, said Zhong Nanshan, a  Chinese respiratory diseases expert, in an interview with Xinhua yesterday.

"So far, no medication has been developed to specifically target the virus, but scientists and medical workers have explored many ways. As great improvement has also been made in the life support system, the fatality rate is expected to drop further," he said.  

According to Zhong, the outbreak may reach its peak in one week or around 10 days. "It remains a hard task to estimate with absolute certainty when the epidemic will reach its peak. But it should be in seven to 10 days and without massive build-up."

"A quarantine between 10 to 14 days would be good. When the latency is over, we will give timely treatment to patients, and those without clinical symptoms do not actually have the disease," Zhong said, adding that there will be no large-scale infection due to the return trips of the Spring Festival rush but the screening measures of the virus cannot be stopped.

He also suggested that in addition to infectious disease specialists, hospitals must also be equipped with experts specializing in life-threatening cases.

"To deal with the epidemic, we must seize two key points, early detection and timely quarantine," Zhong said. "These two are the most primitive and effective methods."


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