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The launch of the second Asian Bond Fund will put
more pressure on the region's regulators, particularly China's, to open their
markets wider to international investors, industry watchers say.
"The fund carries an inherent catalytic function,'' Martin Hohensee, Deutsche
Bank's Head of Fixed Income and Credit Research in Asia, said. "A market
competitive index which will shed the cruel light of day on the impediments to
investing and will add a great deal of needed transparency to the market.''
The Asian Bond Fund 2, which was unveiled last month by central bankers from
eight Asian countries and territories, will feature both an overall fund that
will invest in government bonds from all member economies as well as individual
funds limited to just one nation's debt. The overall fund is expected to list
on the Hong Kong stock exchange, while the individual funds will ultimately
list in their respective home markets.
The central bankers, who are providing the initial US$2 billion (HK$15.6
billion) seed money, see the fund as a bulwark against rapid capital outflows,
such as those triggered by the Asian financial crisis of 1997, that contribute
to economically unhealthy volatility.
No one involved in Asia's bond markets expects China, or other countries with
tightly controlled markets such as South Korea, to throw open their doors
immediately. But the fact that the index that will be used to establish the
fund's weighting among different government bonds will rank investibility as
the single most important criterion will highlight which markets are relatively
open and which ones are closed. ``It's good to have these investments available
for reference so people can have a more objective, measurable tool to see how
some of the markets are,'' Hong Kong Capital Markets Association chairman Brian
Yiu said.
``These indexes are helpful in benchmarking and would give markets a bit more
incentive if they also care about the development of their own capital
markets.''
In addition to China, South Korea, and Hong Kong, the fund's backers include the
Phillipines, Singapore, Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia. China, with one of
the region's biggest domestic bond markets, also has one of its most
restricted, at least to outside investors.
Beijing strictly controls capital market investment from overseas through the
Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) program, which sets investment
quotas on an individual institutional investor basis. UBS, with a US$800
million quota, has the biggest of any foreign bank, followed by Credit Suisse
First Boston with US$750 million.
Taiwan used a similar quota system when it first opened its bond market to
outside investors, but ultimately abandoned it and now ranks just behind Hong
Kong and Singapore in openness to foreign investment.
Last year China issued a nine-point plan for developing its capital markets, and
has begun to reform its bond markets. Regulators have begun to unify the
interbank bond market with the two exchange-traded markets and have given
investors more investment tools to work with, such as the ability to short
government bonds.
tim.leemaster@globalchina.com
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