Harris Interactive's poll for the April 23 first round indicated Le Pen, who heads the anti-immigrant, anti-EU National Front, would get 24 percent, Macron 21 percent, and Francois Fillon, a conservative hit by scandal, 19 percent. The top two go into a May 7 runoff.
The poll assumes, however, that centrist Francois Bayrou will run and take 5 percent. But he has not declared himself a candidate. If he does not run Macron or Fillon will benefit.